Contents Association of HIV Testing Behaviour with Socio-demographic, Sexual Behaviour, and Testing Barrier Factors among Married Persons in Selected States of Nigeria Sunmola, AM., Isiugo-Abanihe, U.c., Aderinto, A., Erinosho, 0., Joseph, R. andDike,N. Family Size and Economic Welfare: Econometric Analysis of the Islamic Perspective Kareem, Muritala Kewuyemi, Bankole, Abiodun Surajudeen, and Adeleke, Hameedah The Legality and Legitimacy of Marijuana Consumption in Nigeria Busari, Dauda Perception and Utilization of Traditional Orthopaedic Services by Orthopaedic Patients in Ilorin, Kwara State, Nigeria Owumi, B.E., Taiwo, P.A and Victor Kolo An Assessment of Environmental Sanitation and Solid Waste Management in Ibadan North Local Government, Oyo State, Nigeria Omolawal, Samuel Ayodeji and Shittu, Olamide Sarafadeen Psychological Contract Violation and Motivational Strategies as Predictors of Employees' Job Performance Ayodele, Israel Oluwatosin and Shenge, Nyitor Alex Farm Family Characteristics and Succession Planning of Poultry Farmers in Oyo and Osun States, Nigeria Arowolo, 0.0., Ogunronbi, AA, Apantaku, S.O. and Adeogun, S.O. Influence of Depression and the Moderating Effect of Self Esteem on Risky Sexual Behaviour among University of Ibadan Students Adenrele, T.A and Olley, B.O. Religious Commitment, Social Support and Life Satisfaction Mayungbo, O.A. and Sunmola, A.M. Factors Influencing Acceptability of Family Planning among Women in Rural Communities in He Central Local Government Area, Osun State, Nigeria Akokuwebe, Monica Ewomazino and Ojo, Oluwawole Abraham VOLUME 14/ NUMBER 2/ SEPTEMBER 2016 FACULTY OF THE SOCIAL SCIENCES, UNIVERSITY OF IBADAN ISSN 15975207 UNIVERSITY OF IBADAN LIBRARY Ibadan Journal !ytAe Social Sciences Volume 14/ Number 2/ September 2016 Editor: C.O. Olatubara Asst. Editor: O.B.c. Nwolise Business Manager: O.A. Oyeranti Copy Editor: Omonike T. Okotete Associate Editors A.S. Bankole (Economics) E.E. Okafor (Sociology) Ibidun O. Adelekan (Geography) C.O. Olatubara (Urban & Regional Planning) O.B.c. Nwolise (Political Science) Advisory Board OgohAlubo, University ofJoslNational Institute for Policy & Strategic Studies (NIPSS), Nigeria J. M. Baba, Federal University of Technology, Minna, Nigeria Michael Bratton, Michigan State University, East Lansing, USA Clara Fayorsey, University of Ghana, Legon Ghana Marjor Hoek Hoek-Smith, Whaton School, University of Pennsylvania, USA L. Adele Jinadu, Centre for Advanced Social Sciences (CASS), Port-Harcourt, Nigeria Per Lindskog, University of Link oping, Sweden Patrick Low, World Trade Organization, Geneva, Switzerland Israel Taiwo Ojo, University ofTIorin, Nigeria Sola Olowu, ObafemiAwolowo University, Ile-Ife, Nigeria Anne LetitiaPeplau, University of Cali fomi a, Los Angeles, USA Subscriptions and Marketing Two issues ofIJSS are published per year, in March and September, by the Faculty ofthe Social Sciences, University ofIbadan, Nigeria. 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Contents Association ofHIV Testing Behaviour with Socio-demographic, Sexual Behaviour, and Testing Barrier Factors among Married Persons in Selected States of Nigeria Sunmola, A.M, Isiugo-Abanihe, u.c., Aderinto, A., Erinosho, 0., Joseph, R. and Dike, N...... . . . . . . . . . . .. .. . . . . . . . . .. . . . . .. . . . . . . . . . 135 Family Size and Economic Welfare: Econometric Analysis of the Islamic Perspective Kareem, Muritala Kewuyemi, Bankole, Abiodun Surajudeen, and Adeleke, Hameedah ... 144 The Legality and Legitimacy of Marijuana Consumption in Nigeria Busari, Dauda ... ... ... ... ... ... ..... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... .... ... ... ... ... ..... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ..... 158 Perception and Utilization of Traditional Orthopaedic Services by Orthopaedic Patients in Ilorin, Kwara State, Nigeria Owumi, B.E., Taiwo, P.A. and Victor Kolo . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .. 169 An Assessment of Environmental Sanitation and Solid Waste Management in Ibadan North Local Government, Oyo State, Nigeria Omolawal, Samuel Ayodeji and Shittu, Olamide Sarafadeen . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ... 183 Psychological Contract Violation and Motivational Strategies as Predictors of Employees' Job Performance Ayodele,Israel Oluwatosin and Shenge, Nyitor Alex : 202 . Farm Family Characteristics and Succession Planning of Poultry Farmers in Oyo and Osun States, Nigeria Arowolo, 0. 0., Ogunronbi, A.A., Apantaku, S.O. and Adeogun, S.o. . . . . . . . . . . . ..... 215 Influence of Depression and the Moderating Effect of Self Esteem on Risky Sexual Behaviour among University of Ibadan Students Adenrele, T.A. and Olley,B.o. 227 Religious Commitment, Social Support and Life Satisfaction Mayungbo, o.A. and Sunmola, A.M 237 Factors Influencing Acceptability of Family Planning among Women in Rural Communities in Ife Central Local Government Area, Osun State, Nigeria Akokuwebe, Monica Ewomazino and Ojo, Oluwawole Abraham t: 250 Ibadan Journal of the Social Sciences UNIVERSITY OF IBADAN LIBRARY ©/badan Journal of the Social Sciences Volume 14, Number 2, September 2016 Family Size and Economic Welfare: Econometric Analysis of the Islamic Perspective Kareem, Muritala Kewuyemi', Bankole, Abiodun Surajudeen', Adeleke, Hameedah" 1Senior Lecturer, Department of Arabic and Islamic Studies, University of Ibadan, Nigeria 2Professor, Department of Economics, University of Ibadan, Nigeria 3Graduate Student, Department of Economics, University of Ibadan, Nigeria The conventional wisdom in economic analysis postulates an inverse relationship between family size and welfare because the higher the number of children a family needs to cater for, the more problematic for the family to succeed economically. Economic analyses stemmed from Malthusian thinking which has given thrust to modern day global population policy. In contrast, the Islamic perspective suggests a direct association between the two, strongly supported in Q17: 31, which says, 'Kill not your children for fear of poverty: We shall provide sustenance for them as well as you. Verily, the killing of them is a great sin ', This paper investigates the effects of family size and composition using the Harmonized National Living Standard Survey data subjected to frequencies and ordinary least square regression to respectively discern the relationship and estimate the impact of household size on household welfare. The paper empirically establishes that economic analysis linearly relating the two phenomena is not only over simplistic but is also devoid of deepened consideration of other factors that produce a positive relationship which the Islamic view suggests. Keywords: Fertility, poverty, Islamic economics Introduction rates are positively correlated while the latter Global population grows each year by coexists with low growth. The perception that approximately 80 million people (Arthur, 2005) high population growth constitutes a binding and nearly all of the growth is concentrated in constraint to economic growth and efforts developing countries where fertility rate has directed at poverty alleviation seems correct on remained high and where, concurrently, poverty the face value. However, studies which analysed remains one of the greatest challenges. Fertility the question of whether and the extent to which rate has been falling over time globally while, family size or household population affect despite the worldwide reductions on the average, economic welfare of households have generated sub-Sahara Africa still records a high rate. controversial results rendering the nexus a World fertility rate fell to 2.53% in 2012 from continuous empirical exploration. 2.9% in 1990 as that of sub-Saharan Africa Received wisdom lends credence to the dropped to 5.5% from 6.05% in the same period position that inappropriately managed large (WDI, 2014). Nigeria can be counted among family size may have several adverse countries whose fertility rate has experienced a implications on health, nutrition, educational decline even if slightly from 6.2% to 6.02%. attainment of children, social status of families World GDP growth was just 3.1% in 2012 while as well as standard of living of a household. On sub-Saharan Africa and Nigeria recorded 4.4% the one hand, a relatively large family size may and 4.3% respectively. Poverty headcount ratio beget some undesirable implications such as at $1.25 a day in SSA was 46.8% in 2011 while poor health, low status and income, low levels of Nigeria recorded 62% in 2010 (WDI, 2014). education, pressure on existing infrastructure Therefore, it appears that poverty and fertility due to overexploitation, poor childcare and 144 UNIVERSITY OF IBADAN LIBRARY Family Size and Economic Welfare: Econometric Analysis of the Islamic Perspective nutnnon which affect living standard. On the at birth. 2 It appears, therefore that human other hand, a relatively small family size is intervention in nature's cause cannot but believed to assist in providing adequately for the produce further distasteful implications that it needs of its members, with such a small family continues to grapple with. being able to benefit from the necessities of life. In Nigeria; over the years, policy control on This standard view of family size stemmed from choice of family size has not been formally the Malthusian theory of population which enunciated though you find in such policies as stated that because human populations grow National Health Insurance Scheme which exponentially while food production grows at an stipulated registration of one spouse and four arithmetic rate, humans would have no resources biological children for a male employee to to survive on in the future. Malthus (1798) then participate in the scheme'. The perception of urged population control to avoid catastrophic using children as the basis of future collateral occurrence and advocated later marriages as and allowing nature to decide whether one gets preventive check on population growth as well pregnant and gives birth was practised until as disease, war and famine as positive check. modem inculcation of birth control education The Malthusian League argued successfully for which was based on the belief that such practice post-marriage birth control. The accepted contributed to poor quality of health, mal- doctrine by the political and business classes nutrition and degradation of the environment. resulted in the proliferation of ideas leading to Be the above as it may, we find that the population .control policy backed by the conventional wisdom in economic analysis production of contraceptives and marketing postulates an inverse relationship between same to developing countries especially those family size and welfare because the higher the whose fertility rates are deemed inconsistent number of children a family needs to cater for, with sustainable world development. According the more problematic for the family to -succeed to Malthus (op. cit), fertility of the poor - rather economically. This economic relationship than chronic or periodic unemployment - was stemmed from Malthusian thinking which has the main source of poverty. Population growth given thrust to modem day global population and poverty are the chief stimuli for the poor to policy. In contrast, the Islamic perspective seek work and thus a necessary stimulus to suggests a direct association between the two, industry. strongly supported in Q17:31, which says, 'Kill One of the severe manifestations of not your children for fear of poverty: We shall population control is the incidence of ageing provide sustenance for them as well as you. populations globally with attendant economic Verily, the killing of them is a great sin ', One implications such as increased expenditure on may view this Qur'an verse as having both health and aged care, reduction in labour force short-term and long term implications. In the participation rates (Productivity Commission, short term, the new-born has access to mother's 2005)' and productivity, among others. In the breast milk for the next two years after birth and report, Australia's aged population (65 years and therefore, the parents need not fear poverty from above) was predicted to grow to 25% of the its birth. In the long run, the baby depends on population in 2044/45 from half that proportion other foods and has to be trained with resources in 2005. China's population control policy before adulthood after which comes eventual introduced in 1978 aimed at alleviating socio- responsibility to care for the parents in return. It economic and environmental problems which is the long-term economic implication of fertility were applauded to have reduced the country's population by 200 million in three decades also produced the phenomena of aging population, 2 Hvistendahl, M. (2010) "Has China Outgrown the contracting labour force and a skewed sex ratio One-Child Policy?". Science 329 (5998): 1458- 1461. Doi: 10.1126/science.329. 5998. 1458 20847244. , Govemmentof Australia (2005) Economic 3 National Health Insurance Scheme (2012) Implicar ons of an Ageing Australia, Productivity Operational Guidelines. Accessed at nhis.gov.ng Commission, Research Report 16. 10/512015. 145 UNIVERSITY OF IBADAN LIBRARY ~ . ~ lbadan Journal of the Social Sciences that seems to concern economists who believe and Quran 58:11 "Allah will exalt in degree larger family size becomes problematic for the those of you who believe, and those who have family welfare particularly in view of the been granted knowledge". Allah tells us in these additional expenditure to nurture the additional verses the supremacy of the knowledgeable children. person over the ignorant, such that parents who We postulate that the analysis of the issue of give their children the required education would family size and household welfare transcends have distanced themselves from poverty of their the short term. However, in the very long term, family and in old age. It rests with man to seek children are expected to pay back to the family knowledge with which to get his sustenance. by supporting their family either by helping to That was why the first revelation to Prophet cater for some of the siblings, or providing some Muhammad (Q 96: 1-5) was on education unconditional cash transfer to care for parents because it is the key with which man will open and siblings. In real life situations of certain many gates of bounties of God including societies, some children who become rich in economic welfare. "Read in the name of your adulthood come back to build houses for their Lord who created, Created man from a clinging parents to reside in their old age or provide substance. Read, and your Lord is the most rental income for the upkeep of such parents. Geserous- Who taught by the pen- Taught man This is supported in Qur'an 17:23 "And your that whtchlhe knew not" (Q 96: 1-5). Lord has decreed that you worship none but The above-mentioned five verses revealed to him. And that you be dutiful to your parents. If Prophet Muhammad in the cave of Hira in one of them or both of them attain old age in Makkah as the-first revelation from God through your life, say not to them a word of disrespect, angel Jibril indicate the importance of education nor shout at them but address them in terms of in the economic empowerment of man. The truth honour". In effect, we hypothesise that a large is that with the help of his intellect (education), family will contribute to family welfare because . it is possible for man to provide for himself and Allah truly provides for the additional children members of his family their material needs. He in the short term as well as in the distant future if could innovate products or invent machines that they are well nurtured according to the dictates could earn him income that he and his family of Allah. "And there is no creature on earth but will not be able to spend one billionth of it that upon Allah is its provision, and He knows because of its abundance. Many of these its place of dwelling and place of storage. All is innovators. and inventors are millionaires or in a clear register" (Q 11:6). It can be inferred multi-billionaires in local and foreign currencies. from the verse that God declares that He has This shows that through education a place of provided sustenance for all His creatures honour will accrue to the knowledgeable people including the worms, ants and reptiles in the thereby leading them to posterity and taking bowels of the earth. If God has provided for them out of austerity and poverty. The fear of these creatures of His, He could certainly not poverty and indigence can be erased through have forgotten His noblest creature (man). Most education. Man is even asked to pray for assuredly, He has provided for man. It is left to . knowledge (education) Q20:114 when it says: them to find it and make use of it. .. . and say, "My Lord, increase me in The children by performing their duty to knowledge". This is because it is one of the their parents will contribute to the economic means to raise people's standards of living and emancipation of the family in the long term. One improve their economic welfare. of the ways that parents nurture their children is Prophet Muhammad said man will have through the provision of quality education. It is more than enough resources through acquisition instructive to note that seeking knowledge was of knowledge. He said "For him who adopts a mandated by Allah who taught Adam who path seeking knowledge, Allah eases the way to became successful over the angels (see Q2:31- Paradise and angels spread their wings for a 34). According to the Quran 39:9 "... Say: "Are seeker of knowledge, being pleased with his those who know equal to those who know not?" occupation, and all that are in the heavens and 146 UNIVERSITY OF IBADAN LIBRARY Family Size and Economic Welfare: Econometric Analysis of the Islamic Perspective the earth including the fish in the water ask for welfare and household size as well as the forgiveness for a learned one. A learned one is tendency for religious beliefs to influence the superior to a worshipper as the moon is superior household size as the overview of the paper. In to all the planets. The Divine are heirs of the section 3, we present the review of literature prophets and the prophets do not leave an regarding the relationship between household inheritance of Dirham and Dinars (money) but size and welfare as well as the theoretical only of knowledge. He who acquires knowledge, framework of the paper. The results of the acquires a vast portion (Yahya, 1985: 638). research are presented and discussed in section 4 Therefore, this study seeks to carry out an while summary and conclusion are provided in empirical investigation to determine whether section 5. family size affects household welfare in particular if the members of the family are Overview of the Study educated. In the process, it specifically Household Size and Family Welfare Pattern in examines the relationship between religious Nigeria beliefs and household welfare; assess the The household welfare or expenditure pattern in relationship between the number of children Nigerian six geo-political zone indicates some educated" and household welfare; establish a interesting trend. The household welfare pattern, relationship between the number of children measured by household per capita food and non- working and household welfare; and food consumption expenditure, shows that the econometrically determine the impact of family South-east geopolitical zone recorded the size on household welfare. highest welfare expenditure in 20045 followed This study is justified in terms of both closely by South-south, South west, North theoretical and empirical contribution. Unlike central and North east, -while North west the approaches used in existing literature, which accounts for the least welfare expenditure in the only considered the influence of family size zones. In 2010, South-south recorded the highest linearly on household welfare (e.g. Arthur, 2005; welfare pattern followed closely by South west Tran, 2005), we employ a different approach and South east, while North-west still accounts which considers the nature of household for the least welfare expenditure in 2010. composition with respect to number of educated Generally, the total household welfare children and number of working children on expenditure rose by 12% from the level in 2004 household welfare in Nigeria. This approach to N60,202.95 in 2010, signifying an combines the idea that having large family size improvement in household welfare (Fig. 1). could only be detrimental to family welfare if Comparing household welfare expenditure the children are not educated (given knowledge) growth between 2004 and 2010 by geopolitical and if the children do not pay back when they zone, North-central zone had the highest of start working and start earning income (i.e. when 16.8% in per capita total household food and they become good/dutiful to their parents). The non-food consumption expenditure, South-west paper employs the National Living Standards (14.2%) and South-south (13.2%). In addition, Survey (NLSS) 2004 and the Harmonised household welfare expenditure in North east National Living Standards Survey (HNLSS) rose by 10.3% while in North-west it was 8.8%. 2010 data sets which we explore to describe the South-east accounts for the lowest percentage trend of family size and welfare in Nigeria. The increase in household welfare expenditure. sets also provide the data for our ordinary least square (OLS) regression analysis which allows us to discern the impact of family size on family welfare using the household as a measure of family. The rest of the paper is organised as follows: section 2 explores data to provide a tentative correlation of measures of household 4 Western education 5 Values were corrected for inflation 147 UNIVERSITY OF IBADAN LIBRARY ~ Ibadan Journal of the Social Sciences Table 1: Family Size Based on Geo-Political Zone 80,000.00 70,000.00 60,000.00 !>O,UQU.oo 40,000.00 30,000.00 20,000.00 10,000.00 north north north south sout.h south Tot",1 central east west east south west LJPer capita total household food and non-food consumption expenditure (2004i _ Per capita total hOllsehold food and non-food coriswmpxton expenditure (2010) Source: Author's Computations from NLSS' (2004) and HNLS (2010/ Figure 1: A Chart Showing Per Capita Household Food and Non-food Consumption Expenditure (2004 and 2010) 8 6 Nigeria Living Standard Survey 7 Harmonized Nigeria Living Standard Survey The decimal points are retained to differentiate between geopolitical zones 148 UNIVERSITY OF IBADAN LIBRARY Family Size and Economic Welfare: Econometric Analysis of the Islamic Perspective Nigeria's average family size in 2004 was about while South west recorded the least family size 4.83 per household which decreased to 4.65 in value of 3.63. Family size fell from 4.87 in 2004 2010 (Table 1). North-west has an average to 4.65 in 2010 in North central. North east family size of 5.89, North east (5.41), North recorded a slight fall from 5.41 to 5.18; North central (4.87), South east (4.53) and South-south West recorded a fall from 5.89 to 5.30, South . (4.31), while South west accounts for the least east from 4.53 to 4.13, South-south from 4.31 to family size of 3.58. On the other hand, in 2010, 4.03. Contrary to other geopolitical zones, South the total household size in North west was 5.30, west recorded a marginal increase in family size North east was 5.18, North central was 4.65, from 3.58 in 2004 to 3.63 in 2010, representing South east was 4.13 and South-south was 4.03 1.4% increase. Table 1: Famu·y1 S·ize Based on Geo-P0 liItirea I Zone Geo-Political Household size (2004) House hold size (2010) % change Zone Number of persons Number of persons North central 4.87 4.65 -4.52 North east 5.41 5.18 -4.25 North west 5.89 5.30 -10.02 South east 4.53 4.13 -8.83 South south 4.31 4.03 -6.50 South west 3.58 3.63 1.40 Total 4.83 4.65 -3.73 Source: Author s Computations from NLSS (2004) and HNLSS (20/0) There is no state religion in Nigeria but about 50% households have a larger family size compared to of Nigerians are Muslims and 40% are Christians, Christian and traditional belief practitioners. while 10 percent are of indigenous beliefs. Also, Specifically, Muslim households have a family Nigerians are often strict about their religious size of about 6 or slightly more, Christian practice and beliefs but the range of commitment, households have about 5 or slightly more, while a belief and practice vary in each religion. However, traditional household would have a family size of faith affects the composition of households as about 5 persons. indicated in Table 2. In the table, Muslim Table 2: Famu·v1 S·ize andHouseh0Ideharac tens. tlICS Household Characteristics House hold size (2010) Religion Christian 5.59 Muslim 6.30 Traditional 5.31 Other 5.39 Either 6.47 Source: Author's Computations HNLSS (20/0) From figure 2, household welfare as measured size 10 is associated with an average welfare by per-capita food and non-food expenditure expenditure of N25,324.88. In other words, the expectedly exhibits an inverse relationship as the higher the number of persons in a family the number of household size increases. Households smaller the welfare represented by per capita with just a person had an average household food consumption expenditure. welfare expenditure of N134,51 1.89; household size of 2 had an average household welfare expenditure of N89,813.61, household size of 3 accounts for an average expenditure of N65,974.89 and so on. In addition, household 149 UNIVERSITY OF IBADAN LIBRARY ~ Ibadan Journal of the Social Sciences 140000.0000 "cl:J 1•• 1./. RI :.:.:J"l:J .- 120000.0000 o0"0 c; -"l:JQ1.1/ 100000.0000 "0 ~ J:. C :~:J .•2•• 80000.0000o Q J:. E. - :::J 60000.0000 .•RsI.• c'8" ~"O 40000.0000 .Q- . 0 RUI~ o •.. cI 20000.0000 QC.I.I 0C 0.0000 1 2 3 ~ouseRold sae 7 8 9 10 Source: Author's Computations HNLSS (2010) Figure 2: Per capita total household food and non-food consumption expenditure Literature Review and Theoretical Framework found in children in large families may be related Review of Previous Studies to factors associated with economic duress, living There are basically two views on the relationship in high-crime neighbourhoods and crowded! between family size and household welfare. The inadequate housing, malnutrition, unemployment first view posits a negative relationship between and parental stress (Rutter et al., 1976). family size and household welfare. Specifically, Recent studies have also maintained that an economists who belong to this school opine that increase in the number of children increases larger households in terms of size are likely to family size and it appears to reduce the family's experience less welfare compared to smaller standard of living and welfare, especially in young households (Atreyi, 1972; Wray, 1971 and Rutter families with small children (Espenshade et al., et al., 1976). The second view argue that there is a 1983). This is due to larger families' need to positive relationship between family size and devote more of their income to necessities, such as household welfare asserting that households that food and clothing, and less to luxuries, like are large in size are likely to experience an recreation. In a study on welfare of female headed increased welfare due to economics of size. households, Deborah (1993) showed that female Specifically, a family burdened with a large size headship is far more common than usually would not be able to efficiently perform the believed in rural Ecuador; and household size is functions of providing nurture and education and negatively related to family welfare. Large family this may affect deleteriously not only the family's size is seen as a constraint to child education as welfare but the welfare of the nation as a whole children from larger families are less likely to (Atreyi, 1972). Also, a higher proportion of total receive schooling than those from smaller families expenditure goes to food as family size .increases (Ray, 2000). More recent studies still posit the and on the average, per capita expenditure for food negative relationship between household size and falls significantly given an increment in family welfare (e.g. Jagannadha, 2010; Olawuyi and size (Wray, 1971). In particular, the author shows Oladele, 2012). Jagannadha (2010) empirically that families of six or more persons spend about showed that there exist a negative impact of 40 percent per person less than what three-person household size on welfare measured by per capia families at every income level up to $15,000 consumption expenditure, while the squared of spend. Also, larger family sizes tend to be poorer household size is positively related to welfare. than smaller families. Most observed outcomes However, the household size squared term is 150 UNIVERSITY OF IBADAN LIBRARY Family Size and Economic Welfare: Econometric Analysis of the Islamic Perspective positive and increases across quintiles, indicating Analytical Framework that households of larger size become worse off This paper considered the Barten (1964) theory of along the quintiles, but at decreasing rates. Thus, a household welfare which incorporates household convex relationship exists between household size size (number of persons in the household) and and welfare, with households in the middle of the household composition (number of workers, distribution showing the greatest negative effect of number of educated persons among others) in the size on per-capita consumption. While Olawuyi determination of welfare. Welfare was modeled and Oladele (op.cit) estimated the average using the extended equivalent scale measure in household size in Oyo State to be 5.26 members, which the effect of household composition was their study concluded that household size is incorporated in the household welfare function. negatively related to household welfare in the The model posited that composition (such as the state. addition of a child) may lead to changes in per In contrast to the widespread negative capita household consumption or expenditure. To relationship found between these two variables, a examine the impact of household size on few studies have established a positive relationship household welfare, the modified Barten (1964) between household size and household welfare. model was followed. Drawing from the theoretical Prais and Houthakker (1955) showed that of two framework, we employ a parametric estimation of households with same per capita expenditure, the household regression model specified in larger household is better off, thus they tend to buy equation 1: higher quality items that cost more per unit and w = a +y In n +E~~i1Jk '11k + S .V + J.l---1 have increased welfare. Similar findings were also f '1 drawn by Deaton (1997). Moussie et al. (1983) From the equation 1, Wfis household welfare, n is noted that there are economies of size with respect the household size (number of people -in the to food expenditure. They associated household household), '11k is the ratio to household size of size with food expenditure variations in their '1 sample, specifically, they established a positive household members who fall in one of K groups relationship that runs from household size to defined by number of educated children or number household welfare and a one percent increase in of children working. This specification is designed mean household size could result in a 0.529 to separate the effects of household size, n, from percent increase in monthly food expenditures. household composition (number of educated The coefficient suggests economies of size in food children or number of working children) as expenditures at mean family size. represented by the ratio. The parameter y The positive relationship between household corresponds to the conceptual experiment of size and household welfare has been attributed to making a household larger by replication of both weights attached to child and adult welfare people and resource. The vector v includes a (Nelson, 1993; Lanjouw and Ravallion, 1995) in variety of variables (control variables such as line with accounting for differences in intra- household socio-economic characteristics). household resource allocation between children We endogenized birth spacing (number of and adults. Thus, Kim et al. (2005) established years between child 2 and child 1 and number of that the effect of a newly born child on household years between child 3 and child 2). Households welfare per person is positive and statistically that engage in birth spacing are likely to significant. This is because, using food share of experience a higher welfare, thus we expect a household expenditure as a measure of household positive relationship between birth spacing and welfare, a newly born child does not lower the household welfare. Household specific socio- household welfare, thus a positive relationship economic characteristics are also included in the exist between family size and household welfare. regression as these may affect household welfare. Based on their results, they concluded that there is The regression specification of the household no decisive evidence for the negative effect of welfare is specified in equation 2: fertility on household welfare in the short run. 151 UNIVERSITY OF IBADAN LIBRARY ~ Ibadan Journal of the Social Sciences lneWt) = a +P1hsize + Y1edu_l_ckildt +Yzedu_2_childj + Y3 edu_3_childi + 0lw.orkinol_childf + 02workini/2_ckildi + 03working3_ckildi + Tf1MSjPj +1J2MS_Dyt + TJ3MS_SPt + Tf4MS _Wi + 91birth_spacinyli + 92birth_spacinB2i +Afln _aBet+ 'Jrr;sexJnalei + PiLocationi + wlRG_C~+-lA)2RG]i + tAJ3RG_Oi + p,~ --------2 where, To further investigate the impact of household W= household welfare measured by household size on household welfare, we interact total expenditure household size with education dummy (which hsize = household size assumes the value of I if at least a child is education_I_child = a dummy variable which educated and 0 if all children are not educated). assumes the value of I if the first child is We also interacted children working (the value educated and 0 otherwise of I is assumed if a child is working and 0 education_2_child = a dummy variable which otherwise) and child's education (if a child is assumes the value of I if the second child is educated or not). The regression specification educated and 0 otherwise with interacted dummy is shown in equation 3: education_3_child = a dummy variable which In(WJ =Plhsizei +YiD_edu1j' D_wor~+Pihsizei ted1(childi + ~lMS)~t assumes the value of I if the third child is q2MU~+qlMUPi+ q4MSJ~~+ 91b~th_spacinBlj +B2birth_spacinB2 teducated and 0 otherwise i working I_child = a dummy variable which 1iln_aBet t Jtisex_malej t Ej assumes the value of I if the first child is -----3 working and zero otherwise working2 _child = a dummy variable which Drawing from the theory of household welfare, assumes the value of I if the second child is we expect household size to be negatively working and zero otherwise related to household welfare, while the working3 _child = a dummy variable which interaction between household size and assumes the value of I if the third child is education of the child to be positively related to working and zero otherwise household welfare. This is true in most D_edu * D_work = interaction dummy between developing society, because children act as a an educated child and a working child working. buffer to current and future household This tells if a child is both educated and working consumption and welfare. Education of the first hsize * child edu = interaction between child, second' and third is expected to be household size and education of children positively related to household welfare. In the MS_IF = marital status (informal union) same vein, households with working child (first, MS_DV = marital status (Divorced) second or third) are expected to have a higher MS_SP = marital status (Separated) welfare. Birth spacing is also expected to MS_W = marital status (Widow) increase household welfare. The study employed birth_sepI= birth spacing (number of years) the Harmonized Nigeria Living Standard Survey between the first child and the second (HNLSS) of 2009/2010. The choice of this data birth_sep2 = birth spacing (number of years) set is based on the fact that it accommodates all between the second child and the third the needed variables to estimate the model. age =age of household head sex_male = sex of household head Estimation Technique location = If household resides in urban or rural To determine the effect of family size on area household welfare, we employed both bivariate RG_C = Household head religion (Christian) and multivariate analysis. The bivariate analysis RG_T = Household head religion (Traditional) tests for the association between household RG_0 = Household head religion (Others) welfare, family size and other independent 152 UNIVERSITY OF IBADAN LIBRARY Family Size and Economic Welfare: Econometric Analysis of the Islamic Perspective variables were considered in the model. As per capita expenditure and with three educated earlier stated the two measures of household children is N54191.46 (27.45%) expenditure per welfare (per capita expenditure) were tested if an capita. association exits with the independent variables. Households of size 6 with no child educated The bivariate analysis enables one to see how have an expenditure per capita of N36701.25 each of the factors relates 'with a particular issue (21.10%) and households with only a child of interest without considering other factors. educated will have expenditure per capita of However, the main disadvantage is that the N41285.56 (23.74%). In like manner, impact of other factors are not controlled for; households of same size with 2 and 3 children hence, bivariate analysis are prone to errors. To educated have expenditure per capita of correct for this problem, a multivariate analysis N44883.312 (25.81%) and N51028.94 (29.34%), that simultaneously tests for the impact of respectively. This goes on to size 8 with same independent variables on household welfare was result. But after that, this relationship became also employed. To determine the relationship incosistent. Hence, for household size 9 and 10, between the dependent variable which is the result changed. Households of size 9 have a continuous and the right hand side variables, the total income per capita of N138767.99. From ordinary least square technique (OLS) is this, households with no child educated have an employed. income per capita of N34323.618 (24.73%), with only a child educated have an income per Result Presentation and Discussion capita of N33690.15 (24.27%). In the same Household Size, Educated Children and manner, household with 2 and 3 educated Welfare children have an income per capita of Table 3 presents the relationship between N33044.28 (23.81%) and N37709.94 (27.17%) household size, number of educated children and respectively. household welfare in Nigeria. The analysis Considering households of size 10 with no considers households with at most three children child educated on the average, their per capita education. From the table, household size of 5 income amount to N38645.19 and those with with no child educated has expenditure per just a child educated account for income per capita of N41659.53 (21.10%). Household of capita of N34877.22. In the same manner, same size but with just a child educated account households of size 10 with 2 and 3 children for N48389.18 (24.51%) expenditure per capita, educated have an income per capita of 35989.77 with 2 children educated is N53168.99 (26.93%) and 38495.83 respectively. Tabl e 3: Tb e Relatiions b"lp between House b0ld size, Nurnbero fEd ucate d Cb"Ild ren an d WeIfar e Number of Educated Child/Children o (none) 1 2 3 Total 5 41659.5383 48389.1852 53168.9982 54191.4696 197409.1913 (21.1031) (24.5121) (26.9334) (27.4513) 6 36701.251 41285.5691 44883.3124 51028.9489 173899.0814 •.. (21.1049) (23.7411) (25.81) (29.344) N 7 32787.4058 40423.5977 41309.3753 48159.1786 162679.5574 fi3 (20.1546) (24.8486) (25.3931) (29.6037) "Q '"S 8 32862.9153 36333.5101 39753.5226 43249.6822 152199.6302.•c• (21.592) (23.8723) (26.1193) (28.4164)='e" 9 34323.6181 33690.1519 33044.2804 37709.9457 138767.9961::::: (24.7345) (24.278) (23.8126) (27.1748) 10 38645.1994 34877.2226 35989.7775 38495.8354 148008.0349 (26.1102) (23.5644) (24.3161) (26.0093) Total 37500.8494 42915.9125 45351.1487 47620.4263 173388.3369 (21.6282) (24.7513) (26.1558) (27.4646) Note. Values In parenthesis represent percentages. -y Source: Author's Computation; with underlying data from HNLSS 200912010 survey 9 Note percentages (row percentage) represent the percentage of income/welfare (per capita expenditure) by each household size 153 UNIVERSITY OF IBADAN LIBRARY ~ Ibadan Journal of the Social Sciences Regression Analysis significantly related to household welfare. In the Drawing from previous sections, we examine the same way, the sex of household head is also not impact of household size on household welfare significantly related to household welfare. In in Nigeria. In Table 4, a total of 7919 contrast the age of household head, location and households are considered. Specifically, the religion are significantly related to household result shows that households with first, second welfare, thus they are significant determinants of or third child educated will have increase household welfare. Specifically, older welfare compared to households with no child households may experience a lower welfare. educated. The relationship between the Households in urban areas will experience a education of first, second and third child and higher welfare compared to households in rural household welfare is positive and statistically areas. This is consistent with various studies on significant. This implies that welfare will household welfare (Anyawu, 2013). increase by 0.045 if the first child is educated. To examine further the impact of household Households with second and third child size on welfare, we interacted education and educated will experience an increase of 0.04 and child working and household size with educated 0.038 in household welfare. On the contrary, the children. From the result, interactions between relationship between third child education and children education and children working are household welfare is not statistically significant, statistically significant for first and second child, therefore welfare is not affected by the education while the effect of third child is not statistically of the third child. significant. Specifically, a positive and statisti- The result shows that a positive relationship cally significant relationship exist between exists between household welfare and first child household welfare and first child educated and working. Going by this we conclude that working compared to families with first child households with first child working will not educated and not working. The result shows experience a higher welfare compare to that household we1fare will increase by.0.071 for households with no child working. The welfare households that have first child educated and are of households with first child working will working. Similarly, there is also a positive and increase by 0.03 compared to households with significant relationship between second child's first child not working. The result is in tandem educational attainment and household welfare. with our apriori expectation of a positive Household welfare tends to rise by 0.03 for relationship between first child working and households with second child educated and welfare of households. In most sub-Saharan working compared to households with second countries household members tend to rely on child not working and not educated. In summary first child compared to second and third, the result shows that households with more therefore a working first child may increase educated children will experience increase in household welfare. The result for second and household welfare compared to households with third child working is not significantly related to no child educated. household welfare, thus we conclude that We examine further the impact of a large household welfare does not change significantly and educated household size on household in households with second or third child welfare. To do this, household size and the working. educational qualification of household's Suffice to say, birth spacing between the child/children are interacted. The interaction first and second child is not a significant factor term between household size and educational affecting household welfare, however there exist qualification of children is statistically a significant and negative relationship between significant at 10 percent leveL The significant birth spacing (between the second and third relationship is in tandem with our apriori child) and household welfare. The impacts of expectation. The relationship implies that larger specific household characteristics are also households that have at least a child educated examined on household welfare. It is evident will have a higher welfare compared to that marital status of households is not 154 UNIVERSITY OF IBADAN LIBRARY Family Size and Economic Welfare: Econometric Analysis of the Islamic Perspective households with a larger size but no child individual family and aggregate economic educated. welfare can be guaranteed. Conclusions From the findings, household size without considering educated or working children has a negative effect on household welfare. However, household size when the number of educated or working children is taken into account is positively related to household welfare. This suggests that a large sized household with more educated children will attain a higher welfare compared to a small household with no child educated. This implies that Allah does not want humans to procreate without seeking knowledge. Prophet Mohammed (PBUH) admonishes his followers to seek knowledge by telling them that knowledge is obligatory for every Muslim.'" Allah in the Quran also instructs Prophet Muhammad and by extension Muslims in particular and other people in general not only to seek knowledge but also pray for its increase (Q20:114). Also, households with first and second child working will attain a higher welfare compared to another household with no child working. Based on these findings, we recommend that government should concentrate on policies to improve the education sector rather than waste resources on population control. This focus should lead to a critical mass of educated people among the populace who are needed to produce scientific knowledge, inventions and innovations which will add to the economic wealth 'of the country, increase the welfare of families and generate overall development in the country. Therefore, this piece of research has used economic analysis to explain the Qur'an verses that taught humans how to deal with population and how to educate such population, and has shown that Allah does not favour the type of population control that the world is embarking on, rather He wants humans to procreate and at the same time seek knowledge in education to master their environment. There is need for government to focus on policies, programmes and strategies to increase access to education . including functional ones as well as create enviroment for employment generation so that 10 AI-Tirmidhi, Hadith 74 155 UNIVERSITY OF IBADAN LIBRARY ~ Ibadan Journal of the Social Sciences Table 4: Re2reSSIOn Resu It Panel 1- Without interaction Panel 2- With interaction Hsize -0.062*** - (0.004) edu _I_child 0.045*** - (0.017) edu_2_child 0.04** - (0.018) edu_3_child 0.038** - (0.015) working I_child 0.028** - (0.012) working2 _child -0.00039 - (0.013) working3 _child -0.008 - (0.012) D_edu_l * D_work_ 1 - 0.071 *** (0.014) D_edu_2 * D_work_2 - 0.030** (0.015) D_edu_3 * D_work_3 - 0.022 (0.016) Numb_hh * child_edu - 0.004* (0.002) D_edu_l * D_work 1 - MS_IF 0.134 0.164* (0.093) (0.099) MS_DV 0.177 0.28** (0.13 1) (0.138) MS_SP 0.033 0.13 (0.081) (0.086) MS_W 0.Q2 0.088* (0.044) (0.047) birth _spacing 1 -0.002 -0.002 (0.002) (0.002) birth _ spacing2 -0.003*· -0.005*** (0.001) (0.001) Lnage 0.034 - (0.025) Sex_male 0.029 - (0.041) Location 0.201 *** - (0.013) RG_Christian 0.156*** - (0.013) RG_Tradition 0.092* - (0.049) RG_Other 0.048 - (0.085) Constant 10.62*** - (0.Q98) No. of respondent 7919 7919 R-square 0.1209 0.0167 Adjusted R-square 0.1188 0.0152 F-statistics 57.16 (0.000) 11.19 (0.000) Note: *, ** and *** represent SIgnificance at 10%, 5% and 1% respectively. 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