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Permanent URI for this collectionhttps://repository.ui.edu.ng/handle/123456789/3534
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Item Agricultural Trade Balance and Food Self-Sufficiency: Implications for Sustainable Development in Nigeria(science pub, 2011) Olayide, O.E.; Ikpi, A.E.; Okoruwa, V.O.; Akinyosoye, V.O.Nigeria used to boast of high surplus in agricultural trade and food self-sufficiency, especially in the 1960s. Today, Nigeria has lost the leading position it once occupied as it is now a major importer of food and agricultural commodities. Nigeria now spends billions of naira on importation of food and agricultural products. This situation is paradoxical as Nigeria is well-endowed with the requisite natural and human resources needed to be food self-sufficient. Besides, most governments are adjudged as successful or failure on the basis of meeting the basic needs of their citizens in terms of food. This study analyzed agricultural trade and food self-sufficiency in the context of policy development scenarios including, the Millennium Development Goals (MDGs) and democratic governance paradigms. Data used for the analyses spanned from 1970 to 2007. Descriptive and trends analyses were employed to analyse agricultural trade variables. Statistical inferences were drawn from the comparative analysis of the policy development scenarios. Agricultural imports for the study period witnessed increasing trend. There was agricultural trade imbalance as Nigeria remained a net importing nation. In all development policy scenarios, there were significant (p<0.01) increases in total imports, total exports and net imports. Overall, national food self-insufficiency averaged 29.35 (± 4.08) percent. Therefore, with 71 percent level of food self-sufficiency and high levels of food and agricultural commodities importation, Nigeria needs effective food and agricultural policy in form of import-substitution and building on comparative and competitive advantages to redirect and reverse the negative agricultural trade balance to favour improved domestic food production, agricultural industrialization and value addition with a view to ensuring sustainable agricultural and economic development in Nigeria.Item Review and analysis of vulnerability to rainfall variability and policy responses to agricultural water supply in Nigeria(WFL Publisher Science and Technology, 2016-04) Olayide, O. E.; Tetteh, I. K.; Porter, J. R.; Popoola, L.This paper reviewed and analysed vulnerability to climate change-induced rainfall variability and policy responses to agricultural water supply in Nigeria. The review provides evidence for policy feedbacks as well as priority setting for the post-2015 sustainable development agenda. Nigeria’s vulnerability to climate change variability is due to a number of factors: its geographical characteristics, limited capacity to adapt, dependence on climate-sensitive resources, teeming population, and concentration of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) generating industries in locations that are highly vulnerable to climate change. The poverty level in the country could further worsen climate change adaptation and mitigation strategies. The policy responses were identified and categorized either as climate change sensitive or climatic change specific.