Economics

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    The Effect of Terrorism on Tourism Development in Nigeria: A Note
    (Sage Publication, 2017) Ajogbeje, K.; Adeniyi, O. A.; Folarin, O.
    This article investigated the tourism–terrorism nexus in Nigeria using quarterly time series data within a vector autoregression analytical framework. Unlike extant studies, we gauge the influence of terrorism shocks on the tourism sector specifically on the one hand and broadly the response of some key macroeconomic variables on the other hand. Several interesting results ensued. To sum up these findings, we found a negative response of tourism revenues to terrorist incidents over the long haul as well as adverse effects on other key macroeconomic variables. Therefore, government policies to revamp the ailing economy should be complemented with well-tailored counterterrorism approaches for effectiveness.
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    Remittance, Institutions and Investment Volatility Interactions: An Intercontinental Analysis
    (Wiley Blackwell, 2017) Ajide, K.; Adeniyi, O. A.; Raheem, I. D.
    Generating massive investment for growth and development has been one of the main policy goals of most economies around the globe. Countries, most especially developing ones, are highly susceptible to investment volatility owing largely to the fragile nature of their economies as well as weaknesses in terms of dysfunctional institutions. Therefore, sound economic management suggests the need to better understand possible sources for mitigating the adverse effects of investment volatility. Remittances have been identified as important capital flows which do a good job of dousing macroeconomic volatilities. It is on this basis that the study sought to uncover the causal relationship between remittances and investment volatility via the intermediating role of institutions. Using a panel of 70 countries and the system Generalized Method of Moments (GMM) estimator, three insightful outcomes come to the fore. First, remittances played countercyclical roles across the estimated regressions. Second, institutional quality had no significant role in mitigating investment volatility and lastly, the interactive terms of both remittances and institutions significantly mitigated the negative impacts of investment volatility with the exception of the political component of the institutional architecture. Policy suggestions are drawn based on our results.
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    Remittance, Institutions and Investment Volatility Interactions: An Intercontinental Analysis
    (Wiley Blackwell, 2017) Ajide, K.; Adeniyi, O. A.; Raheem, I. D.
    Generating massive investment for growth and development has been one of the main policy goals of most economies around the globe. Countries, most especially developing ones, are highly susceptible to investment volatility owing largely to the fragile nature of their economies as well as weaknesses in terms of dysfunctional institutions. Therefore, sound economic management suggests the need to better understand possible sources for mitigating the adverse effects of investment volatility. Remittances have been identified as important capital flows which do a good job of dousing macroeconomic volatilities. It is on this basis that the study sought to uncover the causal relationship between remittances and investment volatility via the intermediating role of institutions. Using a panel of 70 countries and the system Generalized Method of Moments (GMM) estimator, three insightful outcomes come to the fore. First, remittances played countercyclical roles across the estimated regressions. Second, institutional quality had no significant role in mitigating investment volatility and lastly, the interactive terms of both remittances and institutions significantly mitigated the negative impacts of investment volatility with the exception of the political component of the institutional architecture. Policy suggestions are drawn based on our results.
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    Remittance, Institutions and Investment Volatility Interactions: An Intercontinental Analysis
    (Wiley Blackwell, 2017) Ajide, K. |.; Adeniyi, O. A.; Raheem, I. D.
    Generating massive investment for growth and development has been one of the main policy goals of most economies around the globe. Countries, most especially developing ones, are highly susceptible to investment volatility owing largely to the fragile nature of their economies as well as weaknesses in terms of dysfunctional institutions. Therefore, sound economic management suggests the need to better understand possible sources for mitigating the adverse effects of investment volatility. Remittances have been identified as important capital flows which do a good job of dousing macroeconomic volatilities. It is on this basis that the study sought to uncover the causal relationship between remittances and investment volatility via the intermediating role of institutions. Using a panel of 70 countries and the system Generalized Method of Moments (GMM) estimator, three insightful outcomes come to the fore. First, remittances played countercyclical roles across the estimated regressions. Second, institutional quality had no significant role in mitigating investment volatility and lastly, the interactive terms of both remittances and institutions significantly mitigated the negative impacts of investment volatility with the exception of the political component of the institutional architecture. Policy suggestions are drawn based on our results.
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    “They Withdrew All I Was Worth”: Automated Teller Machine Fraud and Victims’ Life Chances in Nigeria
    (Sage Publication, 2017) Tade, O.; Adeniyi, O. A.
    A major downside of the cashless policy introduced by the Central Bank of Nigeria in 2014 is pervasive automated teller machine (ATM) frauds. While fraudsters gain, the life chances of victims are affected. Previous studies in Nigeria had not investigated the effect of ATM frauds on victims’ life chances. Data were generated through in-depth interviews with victims of ATM fraud. Findings show victims suffered post fraud trauma and often depended on friends, parents and relatives to survive the trauma. The reaction of banks to customers’ victimization was unfavorable and unhelpful in compensating the financial losses of customers. We recommend better internal controls for banks and implementation of mechanisms to govern trust and protect customers from victimization.
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    “They Withdrew All I Was Worth”: Automated Teller Machine Fraud and Victims’ Life Chances in Nigeria
    (Sage Publication, 2017) Tade, O.; Adeniyi, O. A.
    A major downside of the cashless policy introduced by the Central Bank of Nigeria in 2014 is pervasive automated teller machine (ATM) frauds. While fraudsters gain, the life chances of victims are affected. Previous studies in Nigeria had not investigated the effect of ATM frauds on victims’ life chances. Data were generated through in-depth interviews with victims of ATM fraud. Findings show victims suffered post fraud trauma and often depended on friends, parents and relatives to survive the trauma. The reaction of banks to customers’ victimization was unfavorable and unhelpful in compensating the financial losses of customers. We recommend better internal controls for banks and implementation of mechanisms to govern trust and protect customers from victimization.
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    Financial Liberalisation and Small Medium Scale Enterprises Growth in Nigeria
    (West African Monetary Institute (WAMI), 2016) Usuah, E.; Odozi, J.; Adeniyi., O. A.
    This paper examined the relationship between financial liberalization and the growth of Small and Medium Scale Enterprises (SMEs) in Nigeria controlling for some other key macroeconomic variables such as investment, inflation and the domestic national output (GDP). Using annual data covering the period 1981-2012, we estimated the effect of the macroeconomic variables on the growth of SMEs. An index which measured the gradual progression and institutional changes involved in financial liberalization was constructed for this study. A number of interesting results were obtained. First, unlike previous studies which concluded that financial liberalization leads to a reduction in financing constraint of SMEs thereby leading to their growth; our results showed that financial liberalization had negative though non-significant effect on the growth of SMEs in Nigeria. Second, the results also showed that inflation had a positive and significant effect on the growth of SMEs in Nigeria. Investment had a positive though non-significant effect on the growth of SMEs in Nigeria. Finally, GDP had a large negative but significant effect on the growth of SMEs. On the basis of the result obtained from the study, government policies towards further liberalization of the financial sector of the country might not lead to an increase in the growth of SMEs given the existence of a negative relationship between SMEs growth and financial liberalization.
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    Financial System Development and Economic Growth in Sub-Saharan Africa
    (West African Institue of Financial Economic Managemnt, 2016) Egwaikhide, F. O.; Oyinlola, M. A.; Omisakin, O.; Adeniyi, O. A.
    This paper contributes to the age-old debate on the link between financial development and economic growth by examining the role of monetary policy. There is a possibility that monetary policy enhances financial system performance with attendant impact on growth. To unveil this influence, this paper employs fixed effects and System GMM on data from 28 sub-Saharan African countries over the period 1996 to 2014. Results from the baseline estimation using fixed effects indicate that financial development indicators are negatively and significantly associated with growth for two of the three measures used (LGDP and PGDP), while money growth is positively related albeit insignificantly. The results largely remain the same on interaction with money growth. The coefficients of the interactive terms though largely negative are, however, not significant. The results from System GMM presents a different outcome. First, all measures of financial development turn out positive (except BBD) and insignificant. Financial development equally turns negative but insignificant after interacting with money growth. Overall, monetary policy measures, together with their interactions with financial development indicators, show up as weak growth predictors if not dampening, suggestive of the plausible independence of the nexus on the actions of monetary authorities in these countries.
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    Financial System Development and Economic Growth in Sub-Saharan Africa
    (West African Institue of Financial Economic Managemnt, 2016) Egwaikhide, F. O.; Oyinlola, M. A.; Omisakin, O.; Adeniyi, O. A
    This paper contributes to the age-old debate on the link between financial development and economic growth by examining the role of monetary policy. There is a possibility that monetary policy enhances financial system performance with attendant impact on growth. To unveil this influence, this paper employs fixed effects and System GMM on data from 28 sub-Saharan African countries over the period 1996 to 2014. Results from the baseline estimation using fixed effects indicate that financial development indicators are negatively and significantly associated with growth for two of the three measures used (LGDP and PGDP), while money growth is positively related albeit insignificantly. The results largely remain the same on interaction with money growth. The coefficients of the interactive terms though largely negative are, however, not significant. The results from System GMM presents a different outcome. First, all measures of financial development turn out positive (except BBD) and insignificant. Financial development equally turns negative but insignificant after interacting with money growth. Overall, monetary policy measures, together with their interactions with financial development indicators, show up as weak growth predictors if not dampening, suggestive of the plausible independence of the nexus on the actions of monetary authorities in these countries.
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    On the Limits of Trust: Characterising Automated Teller Machine Fraudsters in Southwest Nigeria
    (Emerald Publishing Limited, 2016) Tade, O.; Adeniyi, O. A.
    Purpose – This paper aims to investigate automated teller machine (ATM) fraud in southwest Nigeria, as extant studies have not examined the unintended consequences of ATM subscription particularly the effect of the identity of fraudsters and the strategies for defrauding. Design/methodology/approach – Using sequential exploratory strand of mixed method, data were collected from both ATM users and victims of ATM fraud using multi-stage sampling procedure. This involved purposive selection of Lagos and Oyo states. Findings – Results showed that fraudsters were typically lovers, friends, relatives and sometimes children of victims. Strategies for defrauding included card cloning, swapping of cards and physical attacks at ATM galleries. Research limitations/implications – Because of the size of the sample which is small, the research results may lack generalizability. More expansive works are needed across Nigeria in this regard. Practical implications – The paper includes implications for policy initiative concerning the deployment and use of payment systems such as ATM in Nigeria. Social implications – The paper reveals the limits of trust in cashless policy. It raises salient policy issues concerning the need for the governance of trust to engender adoption. Originality/value – The paper characterizes fraudsters and their strategies for defrauding.