FACULTY OF THE SOCIAL SCIENCES
Permanent URI for this communityhttps://repository.ui.edu.ng/handle/123456789/268
Browse
76 results
Search Results
Item Saving-Investment Nexus in Developing Countries: Does Financial Development Matter?(Emerald Publishing Limited, 2013) Adeniyi, O. A.; Egwaikhide, F. O.The Feldstein-Horioka puzzle is re-examined using a sample of 20 sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) countries. Unlike the extant literature we demonstrate the expediency of sustenance of financial sector reforms for the saving-investment nexus in SSA. Findings showed saving retention coefficients similar in magnitude to those already reported for developing countries, particularly SSA. In addition, however, the results uncovered a telling intervening role for financial deepening in the saving-investment space. Going forward, the precise nature and corresponding policy implications of this role should form an integral part of discussions in both academic and policy circles.Item Oil Revenue, Institutions and Macroeconomic Indicators in Nigeria(John Wiley & Sons Inc., 2013) Ushie, V.; Adeniyi, O. A.; Akongwale, S.The influx of massive revenues during periods of abnormally high oil prices creates enormous challenges for policy-makers in oil-producing countries. In Nigeria, the prudent utilisation of oil revenues has remained elusive for policy-makers over time. While the country has earned sizeable oil revenues from its natural endowment, poverty and income inequality have been persistent. This study tests the sensitivity of several important macroeconomic indicators to oil revenue shocks. We additionally test for the effect of ‘institutional quality’, in recognition of the important role played by the domestic institutional context in shaping the policy responses adopted by successive Nigerian governments to oil windfalls over time. The sensitivity analysis supports the general view that fluctuations in oil revenues have resulted in inflation, lower output growth and real exchange rate appreciation in Nigeria. More importantly, the aforementioned institutional variable is found to be very significant. This finding is consistent with the general assessment of fiscal performance in Nigeria during oil windfalls as being driven by domestic institutional dynamics. Ostentatious public consumption widened fiscal deficits, and government spending has been highly pro-cyclical during windfall episodes. In conclusion, the study offers appropriate policy recommendations, which could be adopted to enhance the management of future oil windfalls in Nigeria.Item An Empirical Re-examination of Exchange Rate-Trade Balance Nexus in Nigeria(African Journal Online (AJOL), 2013) Oyinlola, M. A.; Omisakin, O.; Adeniyi, O. A.The Nigerian exchange rate-trade balance nexus was re-examined. The long run relationship between these variables was explored using the Gregory-Hansen cointegration approach on a data sample between 1980:Q1 and 2010:Q4. Prior to this, three efficient integration tests that can overcome potentially severe finite sample power and size problems suffered by the standard methods were tactfully pursued for robustness. The short run impact analysis was done in the error correction framework. The analyses showed that exchange rate depreciation led to trade balance deterioration in both the short run and the long run. Thus, this study could not find support for J-curve in Nigeria. Some suggestions on the way forward were put forth.Item “They Withdrew All I Was Worth”: Automated Teller Machine Fraud and Victims’ Life Chances in Nigeria(Sage Publication, 2017) Tade, O.; Adeniyi, O. A.A major downside of the cashless policy introduced by the Central Bank of Nigeria in 2014 is pervasive automated teller machine (ATM) frauds. While fraudsters gain, the life chances of victims are affected. Previous studies in Nigeria had not investigated the effect of ATM frauds on victims’ life chances. Data were generated through in-depth interviews with victims of ATM fraud. Findings show victims suffered post fraud trauma and often depended on friends, parents and relatives to survive the trauma. The reaction of banks to customers’ victimization was unfavorable and unhelpful in compensating the financial losses of customers. We recommend better internal controls for banks and implementation of mechanisms to govern trust and protect customers from victimization.Item Financial System Development and Economic Growth in Sub-Saharan Africa(West African Institue of Financial Economic Managemnt, 2016) Egwaikhide, F. O.; Oyinlola, M.A.; Omisakin, O.; Adeniyi, O. A.This paper contributes to the age-old debate on the link between financial development and economic growth by examining the role of monetary policy. There is a possibility that monetary policy enhances financial system performance with attendant impact on growth. To unveil this influence, this paper employs fixed effects and System GMM on data from 28 sub-Saharan African countries over the period 1996 to 2014. Results from the baseline estimation using fixed effects indicate that financial development indicators are negatively and significantly associated with growth for two of the three measures used (LGDP and PGDP), while money growth is positively related albeit insignificantly. The results largely remain the same on interaction with money growth. The coefficients of the interactive terms though largely negative are, however, not significant. The results from System GMM presents a different outcome. First, all measures of financial development turn out positive (except BBD) and insignificant. Financial development equally turns negative but insignificant after interacting with money growth. Overall, monetary policy measures, together with their interactions with financial development indicators, show up as weak growth predictors if not dampening, suggestive of the plausible independence of the nexus on the actions of monetary authorities in these countries.Item Saving-Investment Nexus in Developing Countries: Does Financial Development Matter?(Emerald Publishing Limited, 2013) Adeniyi, O. A.; Egwaikhide, F. O.The Feldstein-Horioka puzzle is re-examined using a sample of 20 sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) countries. Unlike the extant literature we demonstrate the expediency of sustenance of financial sector reforms for the saving-investment nexus in SSA. Findings showed saving retention coefficients similar in magnitude to those already reported for developing countries, particularly SSA. In addition, however, the results uncovered a telling intervening role for financial deepening in the saving-investment space. Going forward, the precise nature and corresponding policy implications of this role should form an integral part of discussions in both academic and policy circles.Item Is There A Role for Governance in the Saving-Investment Nexus for Sub-Saharan Africa?(Springer Science+Business Media, 2015) Raheem, I. D.; Ajide, K.; Adeniyi, O. A.The study broke some yet to be explored ground in the literature on the Feldstein-Horioka (FH) puzzle. Precisely, it uncovered the role of institutions (particularly governance) in the saving-investment causal nexus using data on a panel of 37 sub-Saharan Africa countries, over the period spanning 1996 through 2010. Deploying a battery of panel estimators, the findings further lend support to earlier opinions on the bound of ranges of saving retention coefficients for the region. More specifically, the coefficients are -0.014, 0.200 and 0.21 in the ordinary least squares (OLS), fixed effects (FE) and random effects (RE) regressions, respectively. These estimates are largely synonymous to those reported for SSA in extant studies. Interestingly, considerable improvement was recorded in the saving coefficient from 0.20 to 0.361 when governance was interacted with saving. This concretely reinforces the useful role of governance in mobilizing saving for investment within these economies. Based on these findings, domestic resource mobilisation can be a veritable vehicle for plugging the substantial investment gap in these SSA economies. However, such policy thrust must be necessarily complemented by far-reaching governance reforms.Item Foreign Capital Flows, Financial Development and Growth in Sub-Saharan Africa(Emerald Publishing Limited, 2015) Adeniyi, O. A.; Ajide, B.; Salisu, A.This paper investigated how financial development influences the relationship between foreign direct investment (FDI) and economic growth in selected Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) countries. This study considered three alternative measures of financial development (FD) and their impacts on the FDI-growth linkage. It also explored the possibility of nonlinearities in the tripartite relationships. The results showed a positive influence of FDI on economic growth. Financial system development also had growth-promoting impact in the presence of FDI flows. Interestingly, these findings remained robust when potential endogeneity was accounted for using a well known instrumental variable (IV) estimator. Digging deeper, the findings also supported the existence of non-linearities in the role of FD in the FDI-growth association. In policy terms, these SSA countries will reap more growth benefits from foreign capital flows especially if financial reforms are sustained.Item Oil Price Shocks and Economic Growth in Nigeria: Are Thresholds important?(John Wiley & Sons Inc., 2011) Adeniyi, O. A.; Omisakin, O. A.; Oyinlola, M. A.The impact of oil price shocks on the economy has occupied the attention of researchers for almost four decades. Majority of studies support the existence of a negative association, while some recent evidences seem to have popularised the view that outcomes are the artefacts of misspecified functional forms. This study, although similar in spirit to this popular opinion, is, however, distinct in a number of ways. Firstly, unlike most Nigeria-specific studies, this paper explores alternative measures of oil price shocks, which have been developed and used in the literature with a view to ascertaining the extent to which conclusions about the oil price-growth association depend on the definition of shocks adopted. More importantly, this, to the best of our knowledge, is a pioneer attempt at introducing threshold effects into the linkage between oil price shocks and output growth in Nigeria. The relatively recent regime-dependent multivariate threshold autoregressive model, together with the characteristic impulse response functions and forecast error variance decomposition, is adopted in this study. Using quarterly data spanning 1985–2008, a non-linear model of oil price shocks and economic growth is estimated. Our main results indicate that oil price shocks do not account for a significant proportion of Observed movements in macroeconomic aggregates. This pattern persists despite the introduction of threshold effects. This implied the enclave nature of Nigeria’s oil sector with weak linkages. Therefore, the need to spend oil revenue productively is imperative if favourable effect on real output growth is envisaged.Item Industrialisation, Finance and Urbanisation in Africa(Penn State University Press, 2023) Adeniyi, O. A.; Folarin, O.This article investigates two key questions: what is the impact of industrialization on urbanization in Africa? And to what extent does financial development affect this industrialization–urbanization nexus? To elicit answers to these questions, data from 33 African countries over a period of 28 years were analyzed using a dynamic panel estimator. The findings showed that industrialization had positive and significant effects on urbanization. Further, the study shows that financial development had a positive effect on urbanization, although it lowers the positive effect of industrialization on urbanization. Hence, industrial policies, particularly those with marked job creation possibilities, should be accompanied by well-designed urban planning policies in order to sidestep the adverse socioeconomic consequences connected with the development of slums in urban areas.