DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS
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Item Cassava Productivity Growth in Nigeria(2019) Oluwafemi1, Z. O.; Omonona, B. T.; Adepoju, A. O.; Sowunmi, F. A.Cassava has gained prominence in the world and has become economic crop in the Nigerian agricultural sector. Secondary data was used for this study. The required variables were extracted from General Household Survey Panel Data (GHS-P). The GHS-P is a nationally representative survey of households across Nigeria covering urban and rural sectors. Analytical tools used included Total factor productivity and Markov chain. 82% of populations of Cassava farmers are in the rural areas and close to 73% were young adults including both male and female involved in cassava production. Approximately 65% of the cassava based farmers were single that not yet married and most of the farmers were educated and about 80% and 98% of the cassava based farmers did not have access to credit facilities and extension personnel respectively. Generally, the cassava productivity growth was erratic and very small proportion of cassava farmers that were in lower productivity reduced overtime, while the minimal proportion of cassava farmers that moved into both moderate and high productivity increased overtime respectively. Generally, there is more to be done to increase and attain sustainable high level cassava productivity growth in Nigeria.Item Welfare Costs of Risks and Management Options in Nigeria(2019) Olaniyan, O.; Oni, O. A.; Adepoju, A. O.; Okunmadewa, F. Y.; Fashogbon, A.Most of Nigeria’s declining welfare indicators such as poverty, food insecurity and life expectancy at birth have been linked to high risk exposure. However, little empirical investigations have been made to uncover the dynamics of risks and their attendant welfare implications at the household level using aggregate national data. This study thus investigated risk prevalence, its welfare cost and management strategies within households in Nigeria. Data from the Harmonised National Living Standard Survey (NLSS) of households, collected between 2009 and 2010 by the National Bureau of Statistics, provided the data set for the study. The results revealed that predominant shocks within households in Nigeria are the death of the household head, conflicts in the community, death of a spouse, the household head being away, spouse being away from home, household head hospitalized and personal theft. Among variables that significantly reduce households’ welfare were death and absence of the household head, and community conflict. Further, the results showed that the level of wealth significantly mitigates the negative impact of some shocks. Also, findings fromthe study revealed that households make use of mixed strategies to cope, mitigate and reduce risk exposure and impact. The study concluded by recommending provision of well-managed and need responsive socialinfrastructure suchas good health facilities, pipe-borne water, road network. In addition, people need to be sensitized to the need for life micro-assurance and government needs to subsidize it as this will help reduce the impact of the demise of the breadwinner on the household’s welfare.Item Gender Differentials in Educational Attainment in Rural Nigeria(Macrothink Institute, 2022) Adepoju, A.O.; Chibueze, O.; Ibitola O.R.Education, identified as the substratum of any serious nation’s growth and development, is regarded as an instrument for social change, as well as the process of preparing an individual to become a functional and acceptable member of society. It also ensures the character and moral development of the young learners and the development of sound attitudes for both genders. This study examined gender differentials in educational attainment in rural Nigeria, employing the t-test, analysis of variance and the ordinary least squares regression model for analysis. The main factor which had negative effects on educational attainment of female-headed households was the cost of schooling while factors such as the organization running the school and means of transportation had positive effects on the educational attainment of female households. On the other hand, while age and occupation of the household head had negative effects on male educational attainment, factors such as the value of asset, the organization running the school and means of transportation had positive effects. The approval and implementation of necessary legislation and policies on education targeted at rural dwellers is of utmost importance. This could center on the provision of more nearby government-owned schools as well as awareness creation on the essence of educating both genders, especially the girl child, with a focus of achieving gender balance in educational attainment.Item Determinants of multidimensional poverty transitions among rural households in Nigeria(IAAE, 2018) A. Adepoju, A.Despite recent progress in poverty reduction globally, millions of people are either near or living in severe multidimensional poverty in Nigeria. This study examined multidimensional poverty transitions in rural Nigeria, employing the Alkire and Foster Measure of Multidimensional Poverty, Markov Model of Poverty Transitions and the Multinomial Logistic Regression Model for analysis. Results showed that multidimensional poverty among rural households in Nigeria is mainly chronic (46.5%) while education and assets dimensions contributed most to the incidence and severity of multidimensional poverty among the households. Educational status, household size, number of assets owned, ownership of land influenced transient poverty while marital status, household size, land ownership and number of assets owned influenced chronic poverty. The study recommends the enactment and implementation of relevant laws against marginalization of rural women in ownership of assets and intensification of efforts and incentives aimed at encouraging human capital development in the rural areasItem Does credit constraint in agriculture influence choice of nonfarm activities?(ISDS LLC, 2019) Adepoju, A.O.; Omolade, O.K; Obayelu, O.A.Agriculture is less becoming the main source of livelihood in rural Nigeria owing to high climatic risks, poor returns to investment and lack of modern tools. Thus, rural households are beginning to diversify their livelihoods from farming into non-farm activities, as alternative income sources. However, investment in non-farm income generating activities that yield higher returns require in most cases credit availability and accessibility. A household’s participation in and choice of nonfarm activities is thus expected to vary significantly between those who have access to credit and those who do not. However, recognition of the widespread nature and possibly far-reaching impacts of credit on non-farm income activities is scarce. This study examines the link between credit constraint status of rural households and their choice of nonfarm activities. Descriptive statistics, Probit and Multinomial Logit Regression models were employed for analysis. Results revealed that trading, artisanship and commercial transportation activities were the major non-farm activities engaged in by the households. A household credit constrained status also significantly influenced the choice of non-farm activities. Credit constrained households were more likely to participate in commercial transportation activities relative to other non-farm activities owing to its less capital-intensive nature. Promoting access to credit is thus pertinent and should be of utmost priority in the design of any programme for rural households in Nigeria.Item MAPPING THE EFFECT OF FOOD PRICES, PRODUCTIVITY AND POVERTY IN THE DEVELOPMENT DOMAINS OF NIGERIA(EBSCO Industries, Inc, 2013-12) Olayide, O.E.; Ikpi, A.E.; Okoruwa, V.O.; Akinyosoye, V.O.; Alabi, T.; Omodele, T.Poverty remains the major obstacle to economic emancipation and achievement of development agenda in Nigeria. Worse still, rising food prices pose a major threat to feeding the teeming population in Nigeria. Declining food production, high population growth, and negative food trade balance combine to worsen the food and poverty situations in Nigeria. We stand on the premise that surging and volatile food prices could have a hardest hit on those who could not afford it – the poor. This study used spatial data on food prices and poverty levels. We mapped food prices and poverty levels by development domains in Nigeria. We found that food price has significant effect on poverty levels in the identified development domains. The food price analysis showed high and rising food prices with high food price instability and price spread. The high food price had effect on purchasing power and poverty levels of Nigerians. The food price surge also had a direct impact on overall inflation because the weight of food in the consumption basket is high. Food inflation ranges over 60 percent, and food inflation has reached double digits. The poverty change analysis revealed that some States witnessed improvement in poverty reduction, while others had their poverty situation worsened. The GIS mapping and overlay of food prices and poverty levels by development domains showed critical policy intervention areas in Nigeria. Policy recommendations that are consistent with food price stabilization and poverty reduction strategies were canvassed. There is need for more effective policy to help the poor and farmers to respond to the opportunity posed by the rising demand for food.Item Market potentials for selected organic leafy vegetables(International journal of vegetable science, 2015) Adenegan, K.O.; Fatai, R. A."Increased consumer awareness has raised concerns over food safety and production methods. In Nigeria, consumption of organic produce is low. This study assessed consumer willingness to pay for selected organic leafy vegetables. Data from 129 respondents were obtained using a simple random sampling technique. Conjoint analysis and contingent valuation were used to analyze willingness to pay and determinants of willingness to pay. Contingent valuation indicated that 84.5%, 76%, and 62.8% of the respondents were willing to pay extra for Amaranthus cruentus L., Celosia argentia L., and Cochorus olitorius L., respectively. Average willingness to pay a price premium was 46%, 42.4%, and 35.8% for A. cruentus, C. argentia, and C. olitorius, respectively. Conjoint analysis indicated that quality was the most valued attribute of leafy vegetables with relative importance of 42.2%. Income, health status, and work experience were key determinants of willingness to pay; all increasing the likelihood of willingness to pay. Income was significant with marginal effects of 0.005 and 0.006 for A. cruentus and C. olitorius, respectively. Health status was significant with marginal effects of 0.366 and 0.225 for A. cruentus and C. olitorius, respectively. Work experience was significant for all species. There is strong market potential for organic leafy vegetables, especially if quality is high and prices are reasonable. "Item Scale efficiency and determinants of productivity of new rice for Africa (nerica) farmers in Kaduna State, Nigeria(Agrosearch, 2014) Nosiru, O.M.O.; Rahji, M.A.Y.; Ikpi, A.E.; Adenegan, K.O.Rice productivity is low in Nigeria, and NERICA was introduced by West Africa Rice Development Agency (WARDA) to solve this problem. This study focused on NERICA productivity and efficiency in Kaduna State. A three-stage sampling technique was used with Kaduna State being purposively selected. Igabi and Soba Local Government Areas (LGAs) were randomly selected. Five villages were randomly selected from each LGA, with a total of 129 NERICA farmers selected and used for the analysis. There were technical and managerial inefficiencies among the farmers. NERICA production is characterized by increasing returns to scale with a value of 1.4954. The farmers were cost inefficient, hence there was room for improvement in NERICA production in the study area. The average productivity (AP) was 26.30. The average marginal productivity (MP) is 9.213. The average total factor productivity (TFP) is 12.87. Farmer’s age and access to credit had negative influence on both AP and MP. Extension contact and adoption of NERICA technology positively influenced the AP and MP. Farmer’s age had negative influence on total factor productivity. Formal education, farming experience, extension contact, farm commercialization and adoption of NERICA technology had positive influence on the total factor productivity of the NERICA farmers. Improvements in the supply of NERICA seed, extension services and level of farm commercialization are recommended.Item Spatial price analysis of tomatoes in nigeria(International Journal of Management and Marketing Research, 2012) Adenegan, K. O.The study examined market integration in tomato markets in selected producing and consuming states in Nigeria. Secondary data on tomato prices spanning 2003 -2006 were sourced from National Bureau of Statistics. The data were analyzed using Augmented Dicker Fuller (ADF) and Granger Causality tests. Results indicated that the maximum tomato price was recorded in Ekiti in November, 2006 while the minimum price was recorded in Kano state in August, 2006. The results also revealed that prices of tomato were not stationary in their level form but become stationary at the first difference lever Seven tomato markets rejected their respective null hypothesis of no granger causality. None of the markets exhibited bi -directional granger causality or simultaneous feedback relationships Seven markets exhibited unidirectional granger causality. The results also indicated that Ekiti and Katsina states occupy the leadership position in tomato price formation and transmission. We recommend there should be efficient flow of information and good access road and infrastructural development among the states to improve market performance.Item Productivity impact differential of improved rice technology adoption among ricefarming households in Nigeria(Journal of Crop Improvement,, 2011) Dontsop Nguezet, P. M.; Okoruwa, V. O.; Adeoti, A. 1.; Adenegan, k. O.The contribution of technological change to agricultural productivity in developing countries has long been documented. It is believed that the adoption of new agricultural technologies, such as high-yielding varieties, could lead to significant increases in agricultural productivity and stimulate the transition from low-productivity, subsistence agriculture to a high-productivity agro-industrial economy. The article uses the local average treatment effect (fATE) to estimate the impact of adoption of improved rice varieties on rice farmers' productivity in the three major rice ecologies of Nigeria. A stratified random sampling was adopted by the study to select a sample of 500 rice farmers across ecologies. Findings of the analysis indicated that adoption of improved varieties helped raise farmers' area harvested and yield per hectare, respectively, by 0.39 hectare and 21 7.9 kg/ ha for NERTCA and 0.51 hectare and 2.10.4 kg/ ha for other improved varieties, thereby increasing their productivity. In addition, NERICA varieties performed better than any other upland improved variety and the impact of its adoption on both area harvested and yield was greater among female rice farmers than among their male counterparts. Intervention programs to increase the dissemination of high-yielding rice varieties to areas with low productivity are, therefore, a reasonable policy instrument